Toronto is in the midst of its fifth snowiest year on record, according to updated snowfall data.
And in true Southern Ontario weather fashion, the snow is likely not done with us.
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“Pearson airport is at 189.2 centimetres fallen since Aug. 1, 2025 up until and including Wednesday,” Environment Canada meteorologist Steven Flisfeder told the Toronto Sun on Thursday, noting that the agency tabulates its “snow years” from the beginning of August to the end of July.
Weather whiplash
“We do have another system making its way towards Toronto starting (Friday) morning,” Flisfeder noted, adding that it could vary between snow, freezing precipitation, and rain.
“We’re currently in an atmospheric pattern where it’s almost directly west to east,” he explained. “So a few more Alberta clippers are not out of the question but whether they bring snow or rain or a mix, there’s still some pretty big question marks in that regard.”
Whatever precipitation Toronto gets is expected to arrive in the early morning hours of Friday, but “it’s very possible that Toronto will receive just the rain portion of that,” Flisfeder said, pointing out that it’s completely dependent on the track of the low, with timing being the biggest issue.
“If it’s a little bit further north, it will be only rain or even completely miss Toronto, depending on how far north it gets,” he detailed. “If it’s snow, it would be early snow before those temperatures build through the afternoon and likely will melt all, if not most of it.”
That said, Flisfeder predicted it’s “not impossible” that Toronto could add to this year’s snowfall total over the coming week or two.
A look at city snowfall data finds that four years ago, Toronto saw 6.8 cm fall on April 18, 2022. Before that, there was 10 cm recorded on April 3, 2016.
Is spring weather ever coming?
But with Friday being when the vernal equinox arrives, marking the start of spring for the Northern Hemisphere (and the fall in the Southern Hemisphere), is spring actually here?
“It really depends on what your definition of spring is,” Flisfeder said. “To me, this (up and down weather) is 100% typical of spring — through at least the end of March, and most of April as well.”
He added: “If you’re expecting temperatures to be consistently at least 15C, that’s typical for end of April. That’s when you can expect spring-like weather.”